Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
29 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
6.0
Surp
5.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adrien Saussey (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Florian Grabenstein (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Clément LOUBIERE (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vincent Mignot (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Coutellec (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 10: Win vs Clément Maillet (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
22nd • 9-3-0
92%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.3
Surp
4.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Gement (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kristaps Štils (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ricardo Manrique (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lassa Yvonnet-Réan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jean-Louis Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Doriann LASSARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kim Barroso (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Savinien Castel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs William Djeniba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
37th • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emile Simon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathanaël frederic (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Antoine Billy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mathis Reteuna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ludovic Zgajner (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maxence Gobert (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yoann Moine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kim Barroso (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Doriann LASSARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs diego santiago (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
40th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samed Demir (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicolas ROUBINET (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Boyhan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adrien Bersier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Cedric SCHAACK (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Round 9: Loss vs Alexandre Laloy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Pedro Pereira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
41st • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Dutailly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ilian Baylon (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Koch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Estarlin Cruz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
Round 8: Loss vs Kim Barroso (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alexandre STEINMETZ (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs David Towsey (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 82:18
Round 11: Loss vs Ricardo Manrique (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jose Alves (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
43rd • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Victor Lenoble (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kim Barroso (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Prisse (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Stéphane Russo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Antoine Le Bras (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
Round 8: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Théo MEKIDECHE (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Maxence Gobert (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
59th • 7-5-0
92%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
5.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Beslan Tatayev (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tobias Hartfiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs George Melissakis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lasnier Richard (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs diego santiago (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Maxime Dumas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jeremy Coutellec (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
63rd • 7-5-0
83%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Saguer Olivier (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Dutailly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emile Simon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eloi Meens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
Round 6: Loss vs Nicolas Michenaud (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Geoffroy Massard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alexandre STEINMETZ (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Camille Colin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 10: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs William Djeniba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Mathis Reteuna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
72nd • 6-6-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
5.9
Surp
2.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan YUSTE (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adrien Saussey (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Corentin Guillemot (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Estarlin Cruz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Stéphane Russo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
Round 7: Win vs enzo costa (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Antoine Le Bras (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Antoine Campart (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
Round 12: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (6.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-0
73%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexandros Kossyfidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxandre Jacqueline (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cedric SCHAACK (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Pedro Pereira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Thomas VUILLAUMIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs diego santiago (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
80%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leandre Bleeker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs George Melissakis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lassa Yvonnet-Réan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Danilo Calcagno (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs David BERGIA (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 82:18
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Maxime Forest (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs CÉDRIC LIGNIER (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jean-Louis Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
80% (8/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexandre Godon (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexandre Guichenay (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Arnaud Mabboux (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Round 6: Loss vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Draw |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hulys Zimmermann (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joris Masson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Léo Dupraz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan YUSTE (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Axel Gay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Léo Dupraz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luce Guidi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Stéphane Russo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vincent Luong (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Antoine Billy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul Dollé (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Antoine Delaval (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 82:18
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs therry HOMEDES (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sylvain LE ROUX (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gaël Dorckel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pierre-Yves Garcia (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christophe Jourdan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Round 7: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Julien Serradji (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yoan Thiebaud (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Edgar Herrera Ramos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs steve thiebaut (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Adrien Defarge (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Round 7: Loss vs Alexandre Laloy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raphaël Caliendo Spera (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mário Abrantes (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 82:18
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Frederik Pedersen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Arnaud Mabboux (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Round 7: Loss vs João Gomes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Antoine Talbot (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maxime Houdas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pierre-Yves Even (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ethan Moraine (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
Round 5: Loss vs Ilian Baylon (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jérôme Cluet (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyson Dumas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Victor Sanchez (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Gaumard (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Vincent Luong (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Maxime Houdas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-2
71%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gregory Celot (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Louis Angilbert (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexandre Guichenay (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Clément Mazeau (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Sergio Tizón Molina (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
Round 7: Loss vs Simone Sieli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Draw |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Draw |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Axel Gay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Kulpinski (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ilian Baylon (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Victor Lenoble (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Koch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christophe Jourdan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ariana Malaga (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Arnaud Oglaza (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 82:18
Round 6: Loss vs Patrick GINET (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Danilo Calcagno (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Loss vs David BERGIA (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robert Catling (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Loss vs Lorenzo Latino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Frédérick Cognard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yoann Moine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Axel Edieu (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ewan Dajnak (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Win vs Thibault Taccone (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ilian Baylon (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Loss vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs enzo costa (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul Dollé (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Baptiste Schmittlin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Demetrio Bori (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tam Pham (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.