Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
49th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alberic LE Vern (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 86:14
Round 3: Win vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs George Melissakis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Correas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Benjamin Prisse (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Koch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Towsey (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Dollé (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Fabrizio Cenacchi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Damien CHINIARD (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maxime Claveau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Round 4: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cedric SCHAACK (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Loss vs Théo MEKIDECHE (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Antoine Cordier (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Valin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emile Simon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Arnold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Aurélien Cordier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yoann Moine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Win vs condamin jean philippe (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Round 4: Win vs Jorge Cerdá (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 2: Win vs william cancy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Romain TRAVERSAZ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs João Gomes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fabrizio Cenacchi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adrien Saussey (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Eric Bilhère (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pierre-Yves Even (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.