Calling: Toulouse 2026 - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC) - FaB-Results

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Maximilian Bültel

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.3

Diff

Fai, Rising Rebellion

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mikael GARCIA (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Puffin, Hightail

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ghislain Delance (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 21:79

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Arthur Nijssen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Pierre-Yves Garcia (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Gaël Dorckel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Arakni, Huntsman

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Clément Maillet (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.12
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.70
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.87
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Stefan Karlsson

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.3

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adrien Defarge (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mathis Reteuna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Pierre Grevet (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas VUILLAUMIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Adrien Saussey (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.22
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.32
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Alexandre MARTINS

dropped • 3-4-0

29%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.4

Diff

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs pierre Maillard (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Katsu, the Wanderer

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 44:56

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 33:67

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Rémi Roux (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

Puffin, Hightail

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ghislain Delance (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

Katsu, the Wanderer

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Léo Dupraz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.34
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	20%	Win	✗	0.79	1.96
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

Dash I/O

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Richard Carr (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

Puffin, Hightail

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Romain Carpentier (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 21:79

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cyprien Lagalie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Maximilian Bültel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Romain TRAVERSAZ

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.3

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Philippe Milot (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Perig Blouin (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jeremy ARRESTIER

dropped • 0-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jorge Blesa Moreno (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Simone Sieli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.