Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X at Calling: Toulouse 2026
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
30th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs FREDERIC MOUTARDIER (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Etienne Vanderaspoilden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Thomas VUILLAUMIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Doriann LASSARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs alban dufourt (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexandre STEINMETZ (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marc Germond (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kevin Jamart (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul Barthonnet (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Clément Mazeau (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andy Baudoin (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ronan Pasquier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexandre Laloy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Theo Mussy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.