Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X at Calling: Toulouse 2026

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Camille Colin

30th • 8-4-0

67%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

5.2

Surp

4.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs FREDERIC MOUTARDIER (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Etienne Vanderaspoilden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Thomas VUILLAUMIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Doriann LASSARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

20:80

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80

20:80

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.18
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.36
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R11	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R12	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Adrien Saussey

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs alban dufourt (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alexandre STEINMETZ (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Marc Germond (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kevin Jamart (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Pierre Grevet

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Paul Barthonnet (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 23:77

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Clément Mazeau (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Andy Baudoin (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ronan Pasquier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.57
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

therry HOMEDES

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alexandre Laloy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Theo Mussy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.