Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Toulouse 2026
Fai, Rising Rebellion
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
58th • 7-5-0
17%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs nicolas levillain (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Charleux (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs Angelo Zaccardi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexis HAYOIT (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Rayner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jakub Kulpinski (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Maxime Dumas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Antoine Campart (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
17% (2/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
0%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Antony Vinas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Antoine Ruffion (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Jeannot (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paolo D’Innocenzo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tanguy Meignier (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Clément Mazeau (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Richard Carr (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ahlan Benmenni (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lassa Yvonnet-Réan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
0%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Patrycjusz Janas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs José Guimarães (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rémi Roux (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arnaud Mabboux (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yoann Moine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Aleix Córdoba (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs kyllian moraine (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Win vs Hulys Zimmermann (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maxime Claveau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joris Masson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Adrien Saussey (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thibault Taccone (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philippe DURET (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Franco (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas PIROTH (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Samed Demir (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sami Belkhorfi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Philippe Milot (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Julien Fourn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Elliot Bessède (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Arnaud Thenevin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Quentin SARRAZIN (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
29%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lassa Yvonnet-Réan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Camille Colin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samed Demir (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Saguer Olivier (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arnaud Thenevin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Quentin SARRAZIN (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs kyllian moraine (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Romain Carpentier (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Victor Bousch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Louis Pecastaing (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs alban dufourt (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maxence Gobert (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxime Forest (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aurélien Cordier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Demetrio Bori (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alberic LE Vern (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs william cancy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs condamin jean philippe (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Draw |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elliot Bessède (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Urs Riedweg (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs mickael assemat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs François BARAT (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Prisse (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Corentin Guillemot (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adrien Saussey (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Valentin Jacqueline (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Alex Vioni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arnaud Oglaza (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Linh Tran (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Peytavy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Clément Maillet (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Donovan LEBLANC (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs enzo costa (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ludovic Coumes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Loss vs Viktor Nelipovich (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maximilian Bültel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.