Katsu, the Wanderer

Katsu, the Wanderer

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maxime Houdas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexandre MARTINS (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Dash I/O
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mathias Fayolle (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christophe Jourdan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Antoine Delaval (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
dropped 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Julien Serradji (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lasnier Richard (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Baptiste Schmittlin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Adrien Bersier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexandre MARTINS (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
dropped 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Geoffroy Lafontaine (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
Dorinthea Ironsong
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexandre Laloy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Josep Tarrida (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Saillour (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christian Franco (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexandre STEINMETZ (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
dropped 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jose Alves (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luc REINBOLD (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Valda, Seismic Impact
!
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emmanuel Boissard (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Camille Colin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
dropped 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Bruckert (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Dorinthea Ironsong
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jean Mattio (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Théo Marmisse (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Pleiades, Superstar
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andy Baudoin (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs João Gomes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
dropped 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
Valda, Seismic Impact
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs William Rao (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alberic LE Vern (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Louis Angilbert (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.