Katsu, the Wanderer
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maxime Houdas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexandre MARTINS (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mathias Fayolle (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christophe Jourdan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 6: Win vs Antoine Delaval (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Julien Serradji (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lasnier Richard (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Baptiste Schmittlin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 6: Loss vs Adrien Bersier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexandre MARTINS (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Geoffroy Lafontaine (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexandre Laloy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Josep Tarrida (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 72:28
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Saillour (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 6: Win vs Christian Franco (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs Alexandre STEINMETZ (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jose Alves (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luc REINBOLD (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 5: Win vs Emmanuel Boissard (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Camille Colin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Bruckert (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jean Mattio (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Théo Marmisse (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andy Baudoin (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs João Gomes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Round 2: Win vs William Rao (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alberic LE Vern (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Louis Angilbert (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.