Prism, Awakener of Sol
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
55th • 7-5-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
5.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs YOAN RONDINEAU (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Boyhan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs Joris Masson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Round 6: Win vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs Vincent Mignot (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Mathis Reteuna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Frédéric Marigo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs David Towsey (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs hugo Kieffer (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Baptiste Schmittlin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Charleux (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lasnier Richard (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 12:88
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David BERGIA (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Philippe Milot (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 12:88
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 12:88, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs enzo costa (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jakub Kulpinski (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexandre Godon (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 15% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ludovic Zgajner (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicolas RABERE (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 72:28
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Théo Marmisse (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 75:25
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas VUILLAUMIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ariana Malaga (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Linh Tran (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Frédérick Cognard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Axel Jan Mahamad (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kim Barroso (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs guillaume jauneau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Round 6: Loss vs Elliot Bessède (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs hugo Kieffer (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
| R7 | Pleiades, Superstar | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Gaumard (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 12:88
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
Round 4: Win vs Yoan Thiebaud (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jorge Blesa Moreno (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
Round 6: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs George Melissakis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs George Chatzigiannakidis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simone Paterniti (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nabil Amri (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 75:25
Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Mignot (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Frederik Pedersen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luce Guidi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Loss vs Julien Desuter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Gaumard (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 12:88
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs George Chatzigiannakidis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
Round 3: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tam Pham (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Marc Germond (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Patrycjusz Janas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 12:88, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs diego santiago (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 15% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tobias Hartfiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 12:88
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Raphaël Caliendo Spera (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 12:88
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 15% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.