Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at Calling: Toulouse 2026
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
62nd • 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jérôme Cluet (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Léo Masson (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Frédéric Marigo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Round 11: Loss vs David Towsey (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Round 12: Win vs Pedro Pereira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Djeniba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Frédérick Cognard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Win vs Geoffroy Lafontaine (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Juan Chacon (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ronan Pasquier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ewan Dajnak (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Theo Mussy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cedric SCHAACK (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Loss vs Victor Sanchez (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Antoine Cordier (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Round 7: Win vs Nico Schleier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-1
29%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul Döhrer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 28:72
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy ARRESTIER (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ewan Dajnak (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leandre Bleeker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Stanislas Grazon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
Round 6: Loss vs Linh Tran (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Maxime Claveau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Draw |
dropped • 2-4-1
57%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stéphane Russo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 26:74
Round 2: Loss vs Perig Blouin (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Nicolas RABERE (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mickael ROUSSEL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Josep Tarrida (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 80:20
Round 6: Loss vs Romain Carpentier (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Donovan LEBLANC (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Draw |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dimitri Trichard (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 27:73
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Theo Mussy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Loss vs Pierre-Yves Garcia (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Antoine Campart (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Damien ROUBINET (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 27:73
Round 6: Win vs Eric Lohéac (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Angelo Zaccardi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Camille Colin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Marsat (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 81:19
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ariana Malaga (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ilian Baylon (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mickael ROUSSEL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
14%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs mickael assemat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Doriann LASSARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Juan Chacon (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 80:20
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Stéphane Russo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Théo MEKIDECHE (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ronan Pasquier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Florian Grabenstein (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Florian Traversaz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rémi Roux (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Donovan LEBLANC (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emile Simon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luce Guidi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs hugo Kieffer (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Corentin Guillemot (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Xavier laperrouze (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Saillour (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Marsat (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 81:19
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bruno Marty (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Win vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christophe Jourdan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Jamart (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
57%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jean-Louis Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Philippe Milot (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gregory Celot (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs william cancy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tom Lorente (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Maxime Claveau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Etienne Vanderaspoilden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Valin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sami Belkhorfi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Michenaud (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joris Masson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs João Gomes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Antoine Muller (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emile Simon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexandre MENAGE (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Antoine Cordier (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ahlan Benmenni (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ulysse Bousquet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Edgar Herrera Ramos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ariana Malaga (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 26:74
Round 3: Loss vs alban dufourt (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.