Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
Valda, Seismic Impact
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arnaud Oglaza (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
Uzuri, Switchblade
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eric Mucha (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Luc REINBOLD (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 14:86
dropped 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
5:95
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ludwig Schmidt-Dennig (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 5:95
Dash I/O
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Urs Riedweg (Dash I/O) - Expected: 15:85
Valda, Seismic Impact
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Rao (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas PIROTH (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.