Ira, Scarlet Revenger at Calling: Toulouse 2026

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

10th • 9-3-0

67%

Meta

+3.4

Perf

5.6

Surp

5.0

Diff

Dorinthea Ironsong

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Juan Chacon (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 48:52

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 18:82

Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Alexandre Lebec (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Valda, Seismic Impact

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Charles Tardif (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Traian Costea (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Dorinthea Ironsong

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Théo MEKIDECHE (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Vincent Mignot (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57

Pleiades, Superstar

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.08
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.18
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R6	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.45
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.55
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.06
R10	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.77
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.13
R12	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Mignot (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Chavelard (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Puffin, Hightail

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Quentin Palacios (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

Dash I/O

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Quentin SARRAZIN (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41

Puffin, Hightail

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jorge Cerdá (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Nico Schleier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Victor Sanchez (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.43
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.26
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Sergio Bravo Aranda

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bruno Marty (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cyprien Lagalie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Jarl Vetreiði

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Julien Desuter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pierre Grevet (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 54:46

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jean-Louis Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43

Valda, Seismic Impact

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.21
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.51
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.0

Diff

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cyprien Lagalie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62

Dorinthea Ironsong

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Stéphane Russo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48

Prism, Awakener of Sol

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Florian Traversaz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ludovic Coumes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 18:82

Kassai of the Golden Sand

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Paolo D’Innocenzo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Luc REINBOLD (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.49
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.41

dropped • 1-4-1

50%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.1

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jorge Blesa Moreno (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

Kassai of the Golden Sand

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs William Castaingt-Tailleur (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43

Pleiades, Superstar

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Vincent Luong (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 44:56

Valda, Seismic Impact

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Donovan LEBLANC (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 18:82

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.09
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	45%	Draw	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-

Dylan Chavelard

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Quentin Aubel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

10:90

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas BROSSE (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 8:92

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Rémi Roux (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	10%	Loss	✗	0.08	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.