Battle Hardened: Seoul - Cindra, Dracai of Retribution (CC)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

13 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ran Sasaki

1st • 8-1-0

67%

Meta

+3.4

Perf

4.3

Surp

4.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Simon Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kyoungsoo Kim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Shou Miyahara (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Joe Cassidy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Nathan Youngblut (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.09
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.46
R5	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.70
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.50
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.29
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.64

wooram Oh

9th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jaehwan Kwak (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sulbin Park (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hojin Choi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.12
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.54
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.02
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Joe Cassidy

10th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gyuwon Yoon ()

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Changbin Baek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs JUNG MOO SUNG (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.28
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.82
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.82
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ken Kuwahara

15th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hyeonjin Kim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 조 윤재 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Byungmo Koo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Choi JunHyeok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Hojin Choi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.13
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

Kazuya Murakami

20th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Byungmo Koo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kim Minki (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs JISU HAN (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lee Dong-Hee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs harbae KIM (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.69
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.68
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.85

Yugo Endo

29th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs harbae KIM (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jeong Jae Park (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lee JinHyeok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs JISU HAN (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sinho Seol (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.32
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.14
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

penguin sim

31st • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Choi JunHyeok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs In GwangYeol (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jaehwan Kwak (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hojin Choi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs OH Youngjin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.36
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Choi JunHyeok

37th • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs penguin sim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

90:10

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wim Raes (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 88:12

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lee JinHyeok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kyoungsoo Kim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs seongkyu lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.06
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

HyoungJun You

40th • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lee JinHyeok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hojin Choi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Park seongil (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs harbae KIM (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.43
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

OH Youngjin

41st • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jeong Jae Park (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Shou Miyahara (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Youngil Kim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs penguin sim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.21
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.82
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lee JinHyeok

47th • 1-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs HyoungJun You (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Choi JunHyeok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yugo Endo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jeongwoo Cho (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs None ()

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

HAN DONG HUI

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Suk ju Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kyoungsoo Kim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kenji Enomoto

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 제윤 장 (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.49
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.