Kano, Dracai of Aether
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
39th • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyujung Lee (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hyeonjin Kim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
Round 5: Loss vs Yugo Endo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Youngil Kim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.