Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at Battle Hardened: Seoul
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs JISU HAN (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 진영 우 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 24:76
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs penguin sim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs In GwangYeol (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
5th • 5-2-0
29%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yugo Endo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Park seongil (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 24:76
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs wooram Oh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
5th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Byoung Hwi Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs penguin sim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 24:76
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 조 윤재 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
33rd • 3-2-1
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Byoung Hwi Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs JUNG MOO SUNG (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs 진영 우 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kyujung Lee (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs HyoungJun You (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
42nd • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hojin Choi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 조 윤재 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs HyoungJun You (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 제윤 장 (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 85:15
Round 6: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Seokhee Kim (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs ko yunsik (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Hyeonjin Kim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs In GwangYeol (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Seokhee Kim (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Changbin Baek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs OH Youngjin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yugo Endo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.