Battle Hardened: Seoul - Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter (CC)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

shirui wu

2nd • 7-2-0

56%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs JISU HAN (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 진영 우 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs penguin sim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs In GwangYeol (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.08
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.66
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.60
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.40
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.93
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Andy Kim

5th • 5-2-0

29%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.6

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yugo Endo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Park seongil (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs wooram Oh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.21
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.24
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.62
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.27
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

In GwangYeol

5th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Byoung Hwi Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs penguin sim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs 조 윤재 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.42
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.58
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.39
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.82
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yoshiaki Okamoto

33rd • 3-2-1

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Byoung Hwi Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs JUNG MOO SUNG (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs 진영 우 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kyujung Lee (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs HyoungJun You (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.48

Park seongil

42nd • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.4

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hojin Choi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 조 윤재 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs HyoungJun You (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs 제윤 장 (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 74:26

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.09
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.36
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-

진영 우

dropped • 1-3-1

80%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Seokhee Kim (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs ko yunsik (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hyeonjin Kim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.21
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-

Byoung Hwi Kim

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs In GwangYeol (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Seokhee Kim (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Jeong Jae Park

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Changbin Baek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs OH Youngjin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yugo Endo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.