Dorinthea Ironsong at Battle Hardened: Seoul
Dorinthea Ironsong
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs myung hyun Tak (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs In GwangYeol (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
Round 6: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.