Dash I/O at Battle Hardened: Seoul

Dash I/O

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

창건 곽

3rd • 7-1-0

88%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs HyoungJun You (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs seongkyu lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sulbin Park (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Keeseob Choi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ugo Henson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Keeseob Choi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.08
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.23
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.32
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.58
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.11
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.82
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Shou Miyahara

17th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kim Minki (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Keeseob Choi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs OH Youngjin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs seongkyu lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.26
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.34
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.58
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

Byungmo Koo

22nd • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jordan Brice Vanbesien (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Keeseob Choi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sulbin Park (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.11
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.25
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.34
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.