Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at Battle Hardened: Seoul

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Keeseob Choi

5th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sinho Seol (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shou Miyahara (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Byungmo Koo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.21
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.31
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.16
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.61
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

kouji hamada

11th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs harbae KIM (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs ko yunsik (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.21
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.51
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.63
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.84
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Sulbin Park

13th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs JUNG MOO SUNG (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs ko yunsik (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs wooram Oh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 조 윤재 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 29:71

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Byungmo Koo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.06
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.32
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.51
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Mohd Imran Jamil

16th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yo seop Lee ()

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs wooram Oh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Youngil Kim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Joe Cassidy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.19
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.38

Kyoungsoo Kim

27th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wim Raes (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs HAN DONG HUI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Choi JunHyeok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.84
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Suk ju Lee

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs HAN DONG HUI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hojin Choi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.