Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X at Battle Hardened: Seoul

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Juntaek Lim

23rd • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joe Cassidy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

10:90

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 8:92

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.20
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.60
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	10%	Loss	✗	0.08	-

Suh Jaeyong

25th • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lee JinHyeok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mu Kyun Kim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs OH Youngjin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Shou Miyahara (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.20
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.99
R6	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

myung hyun Tak

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs JUNG MOO SUNG (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.