Arakni, Huntsman
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
44th • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Brice Vanbesien (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kyujung Lee (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeongwoo Cho (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 73:27
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Park seongil (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Seokhee Kim (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.