Vynnset, Iron Maiden
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs OH Youngjin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs In GwangYeol (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Round 6: Win vs Park seongil (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.