Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
36th • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Seokhee Kim (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 조 윤재 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hyeonjin Kim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.