Dorinthea Ironsong at Pro Tour: Los Angeles
Dorinthea Ironsong
29 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 8-2-1
64%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.8
Surp
5.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryce Platz (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcus Brown (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pheano Black (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Draw vs Arthur Trehet (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs Daniel Correas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R17 CC
Round 17: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Draw |
| R12 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R16 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R17 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
5th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.5
Surp
4.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Troy Wilson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aria How (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Rhea Adams (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 11: Win vs Caleb Womack (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
Round 13: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
10th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
6.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Little (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Jackson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Niklas Bengtsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
6.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
21st • 6-2-0
25%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
4.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mathew Zoglman-Garcia (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 88:12
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lee Kimball (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jakob Allan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
90:10
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 88:12
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
26th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
5.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Dowling (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Benton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Viet Pham (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Brandon Ejupi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
104th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.9
Surp
5.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rihanna LaGrou (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Clover Ausdemore (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Ward (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mathew Zoglman-Garcia (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
53rd • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phil Hensley (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Dowling (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Tariq Patel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 12: Loss vs Josh Lind (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 13: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
90:10
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Drew Bosco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 88:12
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R14 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
64th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.1
Surp
5.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rob Catton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Barnes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 11: Loss vs Ryan Solava (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 13: Win vs Justin Rowland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Paul White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
86th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sjohn Chambers (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Akers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Joel Gibbons (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
99th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gary Gold (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mike Morelli (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs yuta maruo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ian Holland (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 13: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Zak Cargin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
111th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
4.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Loss vs Carson Osborne (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Shane Martin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Michael Barnes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Peng Joon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
50th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Henry Gomez (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joe Santianna (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Chinn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Brandon Ejupi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 12: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 13: Loss vs Corey Baker (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jamie Foster (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R14 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
76th • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hayden Dale (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Adrián Marín (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Requejo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Clover Ausdemore (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Alex Becker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Derek Copp (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Thomas Yarbrough (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
102nd • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.5
Surp
5.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Zach Huey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Juan Chacon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Evan Ford (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dagan White (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 14: Win vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
135th • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs YuDi Chen (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
75th • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Kohls (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Randall Sims (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 88:12
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jon Ho (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
131st • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jordan Brengartner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bea Budnik (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Noelker (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
Round 11: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs YuDi Chen (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Phil Hensley (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 14: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eli Teed (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sadat Minick (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs Rihanna LaGrou (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs David Wadley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 14: Loss vs Caleb Zavits (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Cu (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
Round 2: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Peng Joon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dmitry Sorokin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Keith Ang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 88:12, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Maxwell Mitchell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Pennington (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryan Knecht (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aria How (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 88:12
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
75%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 88:12
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Koppean (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Holden (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hatta Rin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Derek Anderson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bryan Kong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dagan White (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marcus Brown (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joe Santianna (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Bannigan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dmytro Kozhevin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Caleb Womack (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs logan boyd (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chenjun Liu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.