Uzuri, Switchblade at Pro Tour: Los Angeles

Uzuri, Switchblade

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Evan Ford

121st • 3-5-0

38%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dung (Yung) Le (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Derek Copp (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Ian Holland (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Chris Waugh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.16
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R11	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R12	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.34
R13	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Tyson Au

dropped • 3-1-0

25%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

2.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Patrick Yoder (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.31
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.30
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Marc Mehlenbacher

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Victor Mercado (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Marcus Brown (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Loh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Ovas Siddiqui

dropped • 1-3-0

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sadat Minick (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Holland (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Paul A Wright (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.74

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.