Pro Tour: Los Angeles - Uzuri, Switchblade (CC)

Uzuri, Switchblade

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Evan Ford

121st • 3-5-0

62%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dung (Yung) Le (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Derek Copp (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Ian Holland (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Chris Waugh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.15
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.35
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.99
R13	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Tyson Au

dropped • 3-1-0

25%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Patrick Yoder (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.30
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.48
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.81
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Marc Mehlenbacher

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Victor Mercado (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Marcus Brown (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Loh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.66

Ovas Siddiqui

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sadat Minick (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Holland (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Paul A Wright (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.08

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.