FaB-Results

Bravo, Showstopper at Pro Tour: Los Angeles

Bravo, Showstopper

Bravo, Showstopper

15 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Igor Wesołowski
20th • 6-2-0
38%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
6.3
Diff
Dash I/O
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Dromai, Ash Artist
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noah Clark (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Keith Ang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Viserai, Rune Blood
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jordan Long (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jacob Clements (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Cody Williams (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Allen Lau (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Ben Hannan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
Jamie Foster
72nd • 3-5-0
25%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
Dromai, Ash Artist
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Will Rea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Dromai, Ash Artist
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Ng (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!!
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brendan Patrick (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Allen Lau (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
Dmitry Sorokin
142nd • 2-6-0
38%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dmytro Kozhevin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jake Warburton (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!!
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Thorington (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
Fai, Rising Rebellion
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 70:30
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nicholas Korner (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
Kano, Dracai of Aether
15:85
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Michael Bell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
Donovan van Beek
145th • 2-6-0
38%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
Dromai, Ash Artist
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dawson Gilbert (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Kassai of the Golden Sand
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 34:66
Dromai, Ash Artist
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Juan Chacon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shane Martin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Dominique JABES (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
Kano, Dracai of Aether
15:85
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Ashley Briggs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
Bryan Knecht
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.0
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Norah Porter (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Long (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Michael Feng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dmytro Kozhevin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
Viserai, Rune Blood
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Marcus Brown
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dave Cordeiro (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
Uzuri, Switchblade
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
Fai, Rising Rebellion
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 70:30
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Alan Hoang
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dominique JABES (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Kano, Dracai of Aether
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew George (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
Jesse Hurt
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andy Modell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Freddy Friedrich (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 30:70
Bravo, Showstopper
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Chamberlain (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Jeremy Pennington
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
Dromai, Ash Artist
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Dromai, Ash Artist
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Long (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Guilherme Perego (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Jimmy Bui
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
Katsu, the Wanderer
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Chinn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
Fai, Rising Rebellion
!!
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Troy Wilson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryce Platz (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sjohn Chambers (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Mark Chamberlain
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Bravo, Showstopper
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hurt (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Kano, Dracai of Aether
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gary White (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
Rob Harechmak
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
Dromai, Ash Artist
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rob Cygul (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
Kano, Dracai of Aether
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
Kassai of the Golden Sand
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 34:66
Johnny Wedzicha
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 30:70
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
Dromai, Ash Artist
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Sean Gray
dropped • 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Kassai of the Golden Sand
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Towne (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 34:66
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Josh Lind (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Derek Anderson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
Ravi Sharma
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Dromai, Ash Artist
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Montes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 30:70
Viserai, Rune Blood
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zach Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.