Bravo, Showstopper at Pro Tour: Los Angeles

Bravo, Showstopper

15 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Igor Wesołowski

20th • 6-2-0

38%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

3.9

Surp

6.2

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 70:30

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Noah Clark (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Keith Ang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jordan Long (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Jacob Clements (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Cody Williams (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Allen Lau (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Ben Hannan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

6.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.06
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.53
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R11	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.79
R12	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.95
R13	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R14	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.67

Jamie Foster

72nd • 3-5-0

38%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Will Rea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lucas Ng (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brendan Patrick (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Allen Lau (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.35
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	25%	Win	✗	0.77	1.07
R11	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R12	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R13	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R14	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Dmitry Sorokin

142nd • 2-6-0

38%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dmytro Kozhevin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jake Warburton (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michael Thorington (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Nicholas Korner (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

25:75

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Michael Bell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	25%	Win	✗	0.77	0.81
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.27
R11	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R12	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R13	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R14	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Donovan van Beek

145th • 2-6-0

38%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dawson Gilbert (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Juan Chacon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Shane Martin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Dominique JABES (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63

25:75

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Ashley Briggs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.12
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R11	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R12	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R13	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R14	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Bryan Knecht

dropped • 2-5-0

29%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Norah Porter (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Long (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Michael Feng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Dmytro Kozhevin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.62
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R11	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Win	✗	0.63	2.26
R12	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R13	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Marcus Brown

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dave Cordeiro (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.26
R2	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.42
R11	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alan Hoang

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dominique JABES (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matthew George (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.29
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.03
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Jesse Hurt

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.1

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andy Modell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Freddy Friedrich (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mark Chamberlain (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.36
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Jeremy Pennington

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Long (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Guilherme Perego (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.42

Jimmy Bui

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Austin Chinn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Troy Wilson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bryce Platz (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sjohn Chambers (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.44

Mark Chamberlain

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.4

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hurt (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gary White (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.38
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

Rob Harechmak

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rob Cygul (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Johnny Wedzicha

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Sean Gray

dropped • 0-4-0

25%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eric Towne (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Josh Lind (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Derek Anderson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Ravi Sharma

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Montes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Zach Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.