Kano, Dracai of Aether at Pro Tour: Los Angeles
Kano, Dracai of Aether
18 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-2-0
89%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
5.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Shreve (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rob Harechmak (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 84:16
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Bell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Round 11: Win vs Paul White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ryan Solava (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Cody Gebert (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
70th • 8-0-0
75%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
6.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Henderson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Cu (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Gary Gold (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
85:15
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 84:16
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 85% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
28th • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.1
Surp
5.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Long (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Round 11: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Porter Jones (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
Round 13: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
80:20
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Patrick Requejo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
106th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zach Huey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Padlesky (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Thomas Yarbrough (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
85:15
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Dmitry Sorokin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 84:16
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Zayne Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Bravo, Showstopper | 85% | Win |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
127th • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Little (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Long Dao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark Chamberlain (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 84:16
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
Round 13: Win vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 85% | Win |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
144th • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pheano Black (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zach Huey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matt Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mathew Zoglman-Garcia (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Bannigan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matt Noelker (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edward Kim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
Round 4: Loss vs Jamie Foster (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Thorington (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alan Hoang (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 84:16
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emily Froese (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kaiser Tan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ashley Briggs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Danton Lima (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryan Kong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peng Joon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Clover Ausdemore (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Archer Taylor (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mathew Zoglman-Garcia (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ethan Strickland-Robbins (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Randall Sims (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Becker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul A Wright (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Liam Trodden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peng Joon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Loss vs Dmitry Sorokin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oliver Phi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 85% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Muus (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.