Kano, Dracai of Aether
18 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
5.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Shreve (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rob Harechmak (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Bell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Round 11: Win vs Paul White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ryan Solava (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Cody Gebert (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
70th • 8-0-0
88%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
5.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Henderson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Cu (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Gary Gold (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
28th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.3
Surp
5.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Long (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
Round 11: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Porter Jones (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
Round 13: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
85:15
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Patrick Requejo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
106th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zach Huey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Padlesky (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Thomas Yarbrough (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
75:25
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Dmitry Sorokin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Zayne Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
127th • 3-5-0
88%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Little (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Long Dao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark Chamberlain (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
144th • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pheano Black (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zach Huey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matt Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mathew Zoglman-Garcia (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Bannigan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matt Noelker (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R11 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edward Kim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
Round 4: Loss vs Jamie Foster (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Thorington (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alan Hoang (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emily Froese (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kaiser Tan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ashley Briggs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Danton Lima (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryan Kong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peng Joon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Clover Ausdemore (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Archer Taylor (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mathew Zoglman-Garcia (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ethan Strickland-Robbins (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Randall Sims (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Becker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul A Wright (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Liam Trodden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peng Joon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs Dmitry Sorokin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oliver Phi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Muus (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.