Kassai of the Golden Sand at Pro Tour: Los Angeles
Kassai of the Golden Sand
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
31st • 6-1-1
50%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
5.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Caleb Zavits (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Zach Huey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matt Rogers (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Aaron Grace (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Tariq Patel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
23rd • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
6.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eli Teed (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gabriel Montes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sasha Markovic (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ayden Dukeshier (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 11: Win vs Charles Dunn (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Matthew Vore (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jakob Allan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
6.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
46th • 6-2-0
38%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
7.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ethan Strickland-Robbins (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Round 4: Win vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 11: Win vs Daniel Dertoni (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Andrew Padlesky (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Round 13: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
7.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
137th • 4-3-1
75%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Mercy Bickell (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nova Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Troy Wilson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Thomas Dowling (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 59:41
Round 14: Win vs Phil Hensley (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
17th • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
5.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Joel Repta (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34
Round 11: Win vs Easton Douglas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matt Muus (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-1
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeff Stamm (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Martin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Ian Zhang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Yarbrough (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Draw |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs nikola marcoux (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Carlo Ople (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shane Martin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rob Harechmak (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brendan Patrick (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joe DeCaussin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxwell Mitchell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Alves (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bryce Platz (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ANDREW WEBBER (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Little (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Archer Taylor (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34
Round 3: Win vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sean Gray (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Chris Brummett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Zach Huey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Draw |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Ward (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brendan Patrick (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josep Giné (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Jackson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mike Morelli (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Akers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Ejupi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
Round 4: Loss vs Dominique JABES (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Norah Porter (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Cu (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Loss vs Alan Hoang (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.