Pro Tour: Los Angeles - Dash I/O (CC)

Dash I/O

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ayden Dukeshier

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.5

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alek Idol (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Solava (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.12
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.33
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Tyler Horspool

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.2

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Julian Helgeson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Evan Ford (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bryce Platz (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.73
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.49

GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.2

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 30:70

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Bannigan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Aria How (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.24
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Henry Gomez

dropped • 0-4-0

25%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Ejupi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.