Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
22 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
30th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
5.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jacob Kissel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
40th • 6-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Johnny Wedzicha (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs nathan lapham (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Reeve Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matt Rogers (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs James Cæruleus Silver (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Ryan Solava (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
43rd • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Josh Lind (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austin Redington (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs James Cæruleus Silver (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Charles Dunn (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Dagan White (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
49th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Freddy Friedrich (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Niklas Bengtsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Liam Trodden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
89th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Timothy Long (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
151st • 3-5-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dan Groseclose (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Victor Mercado (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Zach Huey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Hurt (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs nikola marcoux (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Peng Joon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Corey Baker (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Birch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Mark Chamberlain (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Will Rea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Niklas Bengtsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Edward Knight (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Martin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Wadley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Edward Kim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michael Lau (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joel Repta (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bun Ar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Henry Gomez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dave Cordeiro (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Norah Porter (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chenjun Liu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jayson Jacks (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Chinn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Edward Kim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Chang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Benton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Legg (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs OWN HSIANG YU (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Little (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sasha Markovic (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Shreve (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.