Prism, Awakener of Sol
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
48th • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
5.6
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jon Ho (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 22:78
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Loh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Thiele (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Grace (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Terukazu Goshima (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Mark Morrison (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jamie Foster (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
112th • 6-2-0
12%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
4.5
Surp
11.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Stephen Henry (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Max Chapman (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 45:55
Round 12: Win vs Vinicius Toniazzo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 13: Win vs Reeve Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 14: Win vs Rob Cygul (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
11.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R11 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R13 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
52nd • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.7
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tiger Mckenzie (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
Round 3: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Dagan White (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Travis McDaniel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
85th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Joachim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
Round 3: Win vs Joel Repta (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Clements (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ashley Briggs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
25:75
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
88th • 4-4-0
12%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
5.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Loh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Bryce Morgan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
Round 12: Win vs Rihanna LaGrou (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Gabriel Montes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
73rd • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sadat Minick (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oh Oh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Ward (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 13: Loss vs Justin Cu (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
25:75
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Ian Holland (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Loss |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Elly Bird (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chenjun Liu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Montes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jose Alves (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Allen Lau (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oliver Phi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Hatta Rin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sean Gray (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Chinn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Baker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Win vs Austin Kim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dennis Yip (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Long Dao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
Round 3: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dung (Yung) Le (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Viet Pham (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rob Catton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Thorington (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyson Au (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.