Florian, Rotwood Harbinger at Battle Hardened: Milan
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 8-2-0
70%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jean-Pierre Reich (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs gabriele paletti (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Simone Sieli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs filippo pirazzoli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Simone Pirota (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
3rd • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matteo Fattori (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs George Rodger (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonny Chapman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Edoardo Galli (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
9th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.4
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vincenzo Di Maio (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 16:84
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Emanuele Carvelli (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 74:26
Round 3: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lorenzo Miele (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonny Chapman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs filippo pirazzoli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
15th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marko Antonic (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carlo Brugo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simone Pirota (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Federico Sirri (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mihailo Bulajic (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
22nd • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniele Milani (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs filippo pirazzoli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jean-Pierre Reich (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Simone Pagani (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Andrea Caregnato (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 86:14
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 85% | Draw |
19th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs George Rodger (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alberto Di Blasi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Simone Sieli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Danilo Calcagno (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Simone Quartieri (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Angelo Zaccardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
21st • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alberto D'Onofrio (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Miele (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simone Quartieri (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrea Milaneschi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 16:84
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
24th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Stefano Galli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alberto Di Blasi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Francesco Fiumanò (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Stefano Parisotto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniele Bigagli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
38th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
4.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stefano Galli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 16:84
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrea Albani (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Pizzetti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Win vs Alessandro Berganton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Francesco Fiumanò (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tobias Hartfiel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
45th • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrea Pizzetti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefano Parisotto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matteo Lista (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Federico Sirri (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lorenzo Miele (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jean-Pierre Reich (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 71:29
Round 7: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
52nd • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Simone Sieli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Bottino Valerio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrea Ceschin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Carlo Brugo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Loss vs Stefano Parisotto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Fabrizio Cenacchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Federico Sirri (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
54th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matteo Lista (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Jean-Pierre Reich (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Emanuele Carvelli (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alessandro Berganton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrea Albani (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Giuseppe Cervone (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jakob Indra (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Srdja Stetic-Kozic (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 16:84
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Riccardo Di Cesare (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 16:84
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniele Milani (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simone Pagani (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Federico Sirri (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chang Li (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Fiumanò (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Tosi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Alessandro Brogi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.