Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
50th • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 16:84
Round 2: Win vs Srdja Stetic-Kozic (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chang Li (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 16:84
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniele Milani (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simone Pagani (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Riccardo Di Cesare (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 16:84
Round 7: Win vs Marko Antonic (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 15% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.