Jarl Vetreiði
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs Alessandro Berganton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simone Pagani (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
Round 5: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.