Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Riccardo Di Cesare (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Angelo Zaccardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Miele (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matteo Fattori (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rosario La Canea (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Federico Sirri (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Danilo Calcagno (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.