Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire at Battle Hardened: Milan
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
13th • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gianluca Razza (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Marco Zappaterra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Giuseppe Cervone (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alberto D'Onofrio (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simone Pirota (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Leonardo Eterni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Round 7: Win vs Vincenzo Di Maio (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.