Battle Hardened: Milan - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Gianluca Razza

39th • 3-4-0

29%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrea Tosi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Leonardo Eterni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mihailo Bulajic (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs filippo pirazzoli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Edoardo Galli (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daniele Bigagli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Federico Chiarel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.45
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.25
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Tobias Hartfiel

42nd • 3-4-0

29%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Giuseppe Cervone (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Marco Nogarole (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Fabio Brambilla (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alessandro Brogi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Matteo Fattori (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.50
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.60
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.05
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Jakob Indra

60th • 2-5-0

29%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mario De Stefano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None ()

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gaia Bormida (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Caregnato (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Stefano Galli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Aurelien Souchet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Srdja Stetic-Kozic (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.97
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.