Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Battle Hardened: Milan

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Gianluca Razza

39th • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrea Tosi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Leonardo Eterni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mihailo Bulajic (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs filippo pirazzoli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Edoardo Galli (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 45:55

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daniele Bigagli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Federico Chiarel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-

Tobias Hartfiel

42nd • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Giuseppe Cervone (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Marco Nogarole (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Fabio Brambilla (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alessandro Brogi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Matteo Fattori (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jakob Indra

60th • 2-5-0

86%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.1

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mario De Stefano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None ()

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gaia Bormida (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Caregnato (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Stefano Galli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Aurelien Souchet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Srdja Stetic-Kozic (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R2	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.