Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at Battle Hardened: Milan
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
46th • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 25:75
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fabio Brambilla (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jakob Indra (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Federico Chiarel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 6: Win vs Marco Nogarole (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alessandro Brogi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.