Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 10-0-0
60%
Meta
+4.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
5.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ikumi Miyao (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Clinton Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs 北斗 神原 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 10: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
3rd • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kazuaki Fujimoto (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs syun suzuki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs K. Tanaka (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taiki Bamba (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 6: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
21st • 4-2-1
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Keith Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Tim Lüttmer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Draw |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
34th • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs None ()
Round 2: Win vs Yuki Yokoyama (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Hove (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Yukitaka Inohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kazuna Otsuka (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Loss | |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Draw |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ardian Okki Nursalim (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kazuaki Fukui (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kazushi Nimiya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.