FaB-Results

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at Battle Hardened: Osaka 2025

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Justin Cu
1st • 10-0-0
60%
Meta
+4.4
Perf
4.4
Surp
5.0
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ikumi Miyao (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Clinton Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs 北斗 神原 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
祥弘 橋本
3rd • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kazuaki Fujimoto (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs syun suzuki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs K. Tanaka (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taiki Bamba (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Kano, Dracai of Aether
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
岡西 達也
21st • 4-2-1
43%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Keith Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
Kano, Dracai of Aether
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Fang, Dracai of Blades
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Tim Lüttmer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
Fang, Dracai of Blades
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
shutatsu sato
34th • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs None ()
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuki Yokoyama (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Puffin, Hightail
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Hove (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Yukitaka Inohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kazuna Otsuka (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
Pleiades, Superstar
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 52:48
Kenji Enomoto
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
Katsu, the Wanderer
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ardian Okki Nursalim (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
Fang, Dracai of Blades
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kazuaki Fukui (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
Dorinthea Ironsong
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 24:76
K. Tanaka
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kazushi Nimiya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.