Jarl Vetreiði

Jarl Vetreiði

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

16th 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Masaaki Ochi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yukitaka Inohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs tomoya kitagawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Dorinthea Ironsong
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 北斗 神原 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 34:66
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs kazuki ueda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 34:66
dropped 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
Kano, Dracai of Aether
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 野原 由一 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs syun suzuki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.