FaB-Results

Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Battle Hardened: Osaka 2025

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kazuaki Fujimoto
29th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 22:78
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None ()
Fang, Dracai of Blades
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Lüttmer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, Huntsman
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Iada Caio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
Dash I/O
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
野原 由一
32nd • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs haruka sonoda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Kano, Dracai of Aether
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Jarl Vetreiði
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 27:73
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kazuna Otsuka (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.