Kassai of the Golden Sand
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs RYO OZAKI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Iada Caio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Win vs Tim Lüttmer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
5th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Taiga Maeda (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 中嶋 海成 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Clinton Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs tomoya kitagawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
9th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs 北斗 神原 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Keith Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Win vs haruka sonoda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Reo Hamada (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 藤田 隼輔 (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ikumi Miyao (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Akira Inuma (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Round 2: Loss vs shutatsu sato (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taiga Maeda (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.