Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luis Franco (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
Round 2: Win vs Brendan Patrick (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fernando Alcantara Sarmiento (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roberto Busnelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marco Vinicio Nuñez Balderas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Oscar Vargas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jesus Roman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jesus Roman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Fernando Alcantara Sarmiento (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
5th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marco Gomez (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Braulio Mora (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Roberto Busnelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Oscar Vargas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Adrian Contreras (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Adrian Contreras (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
12th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs Manuel Alejandro Sánchez Romo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cristian Ramos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nestor Mendoza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luis Canche (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Victor Valenzuela (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Vigneo Guzman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
13th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None ()
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Roberto Busnelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fernando Valenzuela (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Saúl Orozco Albiter (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Diego de Alba Montes (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Oscar Soto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
15th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carlos Vazquez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jesús Mercado (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jesus Roman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Adrian Contreras (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Braulio Mora (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jesús Mercado (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs luis alberto de la rosa muñoz (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Diego Ampudia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Victor Valenzuela (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adrian Contreras (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Vigneo Guzman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-1
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Stefano Maximiliano Cortés Gutiérrez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Miguel Rubio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Draw |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.