Battle Hardened: Guadalajara 2025 - Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty (CC)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Emmanuel Rojas

5th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Sierra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Diego de Alba Montes (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Luis Eduardo Garcia Mena (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Alejandro Burgueño Sanchez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Luis Franco (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

95:5

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Octavio chaparro beltran (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 95:5

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Manuel Curiel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.25
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.48
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.44
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	95%	Win	✓	0.05	0.07
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Eli Campos

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.5

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Carlo Alcantar (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 69:31

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Fernando Valenzuela (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jesús Mercado (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.09
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.24
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Win	✗	0.80	1.18
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Luis Eduardo Estrada

dropped • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Saúl Orozco Albiter (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ricardo Isac Sánchez Samaniego (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 69:31

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Lewis (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Oscar Soto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Luis Eduardo Garcia Mena (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Alejandro Cardenas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.18
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.