Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at Battle Hardened: Guadalajara 2025
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stefano Maximiliano Cortés Gutiérrez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Roberto Gael Busnelli Cifuentes (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luis Canche (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fernando Alcantara Sarmiento (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
10:90
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 10:90
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Fernando Alcantara Sarmiento (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 10% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.