Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-3-0
12%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Stefano Maximiliano Cortés Gutiérrez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Roberto Gael Busnelli Cifuentes (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luis Canche (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
Round 4: Win vs Fernando Alcantara Sarmiento (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
10:90
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 9:91
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
5:95
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 5:95
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Fernando Alcantara Sarmiento (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 10% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 5% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.