Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 8-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
5.3
Surp
4.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Liz Suastes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cristian Ramos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Eli Campos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brendan Patrick (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nestor Mendoza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Fernando Alcantara Sarmiento (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Manuel Curiel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Fernando Alcantara Sarmiento (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (5/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
5th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gustavo Zarate (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luis Eduardo Garcia Mena (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carlos Perilla (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eli Campos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
90:10
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Octavio chaparro beltran (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 91:9
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jesus Roman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Fernando Alcantara Sarmiento (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 90% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
24th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Miguel Rubio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Sanchez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Saúl Orozco Albiter (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Loss vs David Lewis (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrew Ige (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
30th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ricardo Isac Sánchez Samaniego (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Carlos Perilla (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Julio Heredia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Carlo Alcantar (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
Round 5: Loss vs Oscar Soto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eduardo Castillo Trujillo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nestor Mendoza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mariano Marquéz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Loss vs Adrian Contreras (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Ige (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Jose Luis Zuñiga Rodríguez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Braulio Mora (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-1
83%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Rafael Eduardo Jaimes Hurtado (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carlos Fuenmayor ()
Round 3: Loss vs Luis Franco (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Diego Ampudia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Itzel Natali Miranda Rosas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan Sanchez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | 50% | Win | |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Draw |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.