Battle Hardened: Guadalajara 2025 - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Luis Canche

28th • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Luis Marlon Villarreal ()

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Octavio chaparro beltran (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 33:67

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Manuel Alejandro Sánchez Romo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Sierra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Fernando Valenzuela (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Gustavo Zarate (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.50
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.41
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Diego de Alba Montes

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Javier Moreno Varela (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Carlos Vazquez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jesús Mercado (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andrew Ige (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Alejandro Burgueño Sanchez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.12
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.63
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Gaston Zagursky

dropped • 1-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.4

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Oscar Soto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 68:32

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Carlos Vazquez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jose de jesus Bon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jose Luis Zuñiga Rodríguez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	70%	Draw	✓	0.68	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.45
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.