Kassai of the Golden Sand at Battle Hardened: Guadalajara

Kassai of the Golden Sand

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Luis Canche

28th • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Luis Marlon Villarreal ()

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Octavio chaparro beltran (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Manuel Alejandro Sánchez Romo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Sierra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Fernando Valenzuela (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Gustavo Zarate (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.46
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.50
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Diego de Alba Montes

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Javier Moreno Varela (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Carlos Vazquez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jesús Mercado (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andrew Ige (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Alejandro Burgueño Sanchez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.14
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.45
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.75
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Gaston Zagursky

dropped • 1-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Oscar Soto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Carlos Vazquez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jose de jesus Bon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jose Luis Zuñiga Rodríguez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.38
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.