Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 5-2-1
38%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
4.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Nunthawat Sukseangjalern (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs kritsatorn saengweang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Round 10: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 11: Loss vs Natchanon kamhanghan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Draw |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
11th • 4-1-1
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pongrat Winaiwatthanawong (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ritwiset Namwiset (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Natthaworn Raungsiripinyo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Teerawish Kotesiri (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Draw |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
10th • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nuttapon Songkhakul (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Wipu Junkeaw (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tanawat Sukkaew (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
Round 9: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
23rd • 1-4-1
50%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chanokchon Jundee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nithis Chaidaroon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Prakobhiran (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs kritsatorn saengweang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Draw vs Pariwiwat Manajit (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
24th • 1-4-1
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sahatsawat Kritsanasub (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ashila Chuenbanyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nuttapon Songkhakul (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Emmanuel Onate (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Draw vs Wipu Junkeaw (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs chayut langthong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Teerawish Kotesiri (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
Round 7: Loss vs Phuntawit (Jojo) Lertphunyavuttikul (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nitipoom Soijit (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Win vs sasithorn sangjak (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Natthakamol(nack) Rotboonma (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Prakobhiran (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wipu Junkeaw (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kraithun Maneesinthu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.