Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 2-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Natchanon kamhanghan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs sasawat sirakosol (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Win vs Sarut Ausavapitayanont (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs siwa vichaidit (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.