Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Natthaworn Raungsiripinyo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Prakobhiran (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Natchanon kamhanghan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
Jarl Vetreiði
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Louis Glenn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs ANnansuo Junkeaw (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Wayu Saengphithak (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
dropped 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Natthakamol(nack) Rotboonma (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rati Chiewlian (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 60:40
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sahatsawat Kritsanasub (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 29:71

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.