Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

21st 5-1-0
67%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
3.7
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nattapon Phanthanithilerd (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dachkone Vasonchuenchochai (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Phuntawit (Jojo) Lertphunyavuttikul (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chanokchon Jundee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Phumin kidlertlam (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
83%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Dorinthea Ironsong
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kraithun Maneesinthu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35
Puffin, Hightail
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Krit Bumrungjit (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 83:17
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tatthep Kasetsin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs siwa vichaidit (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs ANnansuo Junkeaw (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.