National Championship 2025 - Thailand - Dorinthea Ironsong (CC) - FaB-Results

Dorinthea Ironsong

Dorinthea Ironsong

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kraithun Maneesinthu

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chantad Tanapisutporn (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Natthaworn Raungsiripinyo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nithis Chaidaroon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.36

Nunthawat Sukseangjalern

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thanat Chullamandala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

Kano, Dracai of Aether

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Paramee(Time) Khamsommat (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.