Marlynn, Treasure Hunter at National Championship 2025 - Thailand
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
22nd • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kraithun Maneesinthu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Klynn Unjai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sahatsawat Kritsanasub (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Teerawish Kotesiri (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.